Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.385811 0.425540 0.468128 0.517263 0.572495 0.632782 0.703730
2025-06-29 0.318277 0.372690 0.435214 0.512739 0.606783 0.717803 0.859713
2025-07-06 0.270817 0.329554 0.400155 0.491953 0.609156 0.755122 0.952764
2025-07-13 0.247994 0.311554 0.390876 0.498234 0.641425 0.828220 1.094287
2025-07-20 0.229909 0.296763 0.382913 0.503619 0.670873 0.898171 1.236944
2025-07-27 0.215106 0.284354 0.376153 0.508813 0.699056 0.967411 1.384440
2025-08-03 0.201666 0.272303 0.368346 0.511056 0.722203 1.030404 1.528280
2025-08-10 0.190873 0.262818 0.362961 0.515677 0.748357 1.099177 1.687346
2025-08-17 0.176797 0.247516 0.347937 0.504529 0.749245 1.128781 1.786232
2025-08-24 0.169090 0.240766 0.344647 0.510387 0.776292 1.201022 1.962511
2025-08-31 0.159846 0.231045 0.336125 0.507250 0.788369 1.249565 2.102899
2025-09-07 0.152918 0.224292 0.331520 0.509704 0.809360 1.314251 2.278522
2025-09-14 0.143821 0.213790 0.320634 0.501510 0.812369 1.349326 2.405876
2025-09-21 0.136168 0.205084 0.312016 0.496393 0.820172 1.393515 2.556061
2025-09-28 0.126040 0.191858 0.295320 0.476407 0.800083 1.385123 2.601404
2025-10-05 0.122070 0.188254 0.293968 0.482455 0.826842 1.465484 2.835649
2025-10-12 0.118225 0.184602 0.292256 0.487643 0.852286 1.545540 3.079434
2025-10-19 0.114617 0.181115 0.290562 0.492646 0.877645 1.627659 3.338412
2025-10-26 0.110752 0.176969 0.287463 0.494806 0.897603 1.700700 3.586798
2025-11-02 0.107532 0.173729 0.285709 0.499257 0.922290 1.785688 3.874452
2025-11-09 0.102060 0.166330 0.276233 0.488519 0.915663 1.803955 4.005087
2025-11-16 0.099505 0.163876 0.275392 0.494162 0.942774 1.897354 4.333615
2025-11-23 0.095799 0.159202 0.270282 0.491141 0.951567 1.951134 4.569451